Waterlogged-Fringe
0x8793177d78557f99b355402d23207029d26af1dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
2100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.15Dec 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 29, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.23Nov 29, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Oct 23, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$1.35Oct 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$1.30Jul 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.50Mar 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$2.10Mar 3, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 10-17?$0.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$0.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Saints win the NFC Championship?$1.89Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.40Jan 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 16, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Saints win the NFC Championship?$1.89Nov 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$2.00Nov 19, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".