Deadly-Fireplace
0x879c4874e01fae5162ed92780faf24ced485279b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$15.04
Total PnL
$-7.28
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?
46 shares @ 3.8¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.81
$3.05
- NO
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?
139 shares @ 1.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.25
$2.25
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
39 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.75
$-0.01
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
141 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.41
$-3.15
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 0.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.63
$0.60
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.17
$0.15
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
197 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 4?
150 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 3?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?$0.72Jun 6, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.02Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$0.02Jun 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?$1.08Jun 6, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$1.80Jun 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?$1.20Jun 6, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?$1.20Jun 6, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$2.19Jun 6, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill skiter be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?$0.29Jun 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill skiter be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?$0.20Jun 6, 03:07 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$37.83Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?$0.11Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?$0.71Jun 5, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.01Jun 5, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.10Jun 5, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".