Stiff-Hermit
0x87a475ce3fc866f722d31964a85918ec09894d02
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-88.13
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
3 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
103 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
31 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
23 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$3.01Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00May 25, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.11May 25, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00May 25, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.34May 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.45Apr 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.64Apr 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.00Apr 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.36Apr 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.14Apr 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.