0x87b4f38b28e385f9df13ebe6a0b8f42066059ed5
0x87b4f38b28e385f9df13ebe6a0b8f42066059ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.67
Total PnL
$-1.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.68
$1.39
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 17 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.04
$0.75
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.78
$0.49
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.73
$0.44
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 17 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.10
$-0.19
- NO
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.97
$-0.32
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.37
$-1.92
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
11 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.01
$-2.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 17 2026?$2.33Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 17 2026?$2.31Aug 17, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 16, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$5.20Aug 16, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$2.97Aug 15, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$2.29Aug 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$2.31Aug 13, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 10 2026?$0.00Aug 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.29Aug 13, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$8.81Aug 12, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 11, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 10 2026?$2.33Aug 10, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.86Aug 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?$2.34Aug 9, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.36Aug 8, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.29Aug 8, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?$0.00Aug 8, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?$0.00Aug 8, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?$4.24Aug 8, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.