Handmade-Brand
0x87b713930e34ec6957fe8fa55640bf2722bb05e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.82
Total PnL
$-54.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
204 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.82
$-4.18
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March?
307 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
263 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 20, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.00Mar 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.00Mar 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 20, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.00Mar 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March?$5.00Mar 20, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 20, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.00Mar 20, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$5.00Mar 20, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$2.00Mar 20, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 04:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.