Vicious-Laugh
0x87c017d93cf439ec223ea79e776a40efa7bd71a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-206.78
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
26183 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-149.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 5?
15885 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-91.97
- YES
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?
10916 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
6884 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-219.99
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?
4630 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 14–16 million views on day 1?
3119 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 51.0 million or more views on day 6?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 14?
2667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?
2463 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-128.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$0.00Mar 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$200.00Mar 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$201.61Mar 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$192.66Mar 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$192.66Mar 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$163.58Mar 8, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$112.67Mar 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$75.00Mar 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$19.00Mar 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$16.08Mar 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 5, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$270.00Mar 5, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$85.05Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$90.00Mar 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$85.81Mar 3, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$90.00Mar 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$28.00Mar 1, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $229.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.