Wallet profile

Hefty-Tentacle

0x87da2f16cf98af9b3e2f6ba6d9c4c470815b53d1

activity 51/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

51/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.9M

Realised

$-829.24

Win rate

52%

23 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$131.8K

Trades

2

Buy share

41%

Window

May 19, 18:40 UTC → Jul 11, 14:06 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $5.4K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

54/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

52% win rate over 23 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

48 live trades, 13 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$5.4K

1 trades

Buy share

41%

Sample

medium

13 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

$25.0K · 19% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner19% of recorded volume$25.0KDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner11% of recorded volume$14.0KCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage11% of recorded volume$14.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity69 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence77 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry89 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
48
Avg trade size
$109.94
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 26, 17:06 UTC
Last active
Jul 27, 06:47 UTC
Win rate sample
23 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 19:47:53 UTC·src:Polymarket Data