Reflecting-Confirmation
0x87dc6deba850fbbb70a979232c3b7f82a043255f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.47
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
18 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
15 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
10 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
7 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
7 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Celtics
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.00Jan 12, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBlues vs. Predators$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMMontana vs. Wisconsin$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy impeached before July?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Iran before August?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 21?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump severs ties with Ukraine before May?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose a blanket tariff of 40% or more on the EU by June 30?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 21?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWas JFK assassinated by a foreign government? $0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.00Jan 12, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".