Icky-Quicksand
0x87e659b03abca800f5f0ff622097cd00562b7284
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$50.43
Total PnL
$0.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana reach $85 on July 29?
33 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$33.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?
12 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.98
$0.08
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
750 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.25
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?$11.91Jul 29, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $85 on July 29?$33.40Jul 29, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24?$12.95Jul 24, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 24?$30.86Jul 24, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24?$12.90Jul 24, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 24?$30.80Jul 24, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 23?$11.92Jul 23, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?$30.53Jul 23, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 23?$11.90Jul 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?$30.50Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$33.87Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 17?$11.92Jul 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 17?$11.90Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$33.80Jul 17, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?$13.49Jul 13, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13?$32.87Jul 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?$13.31Jul 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13?$32.80Jul 13, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 10?$13.73Jul 11, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $95 on July 10?$31.83Jul 11, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $22.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.