Deserted-Prevention
0x87eb2def71550d34fec464c4e82f3a2b2c325976
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.05
Total PnL
$-0.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.03May 16, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.01May 15, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.09May 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.01May 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00May 15, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$3.76May 14, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.85May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00May 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.02May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.03May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.02May 14, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.18May 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.01May 14, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.32May 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.02May 13, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.14May 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.01May 13, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.02May 13, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.35May 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00May 13, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.