Wild-Resort-Hardboard
0x87ec6cd961d326bd6caa54b8a2a194440522138f
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$767.37
Total PnL
$441.63
Realised
$22.3K
Win rate
64%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?
363 shares @ 57.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$172.47
$-36.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 30?
101 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$82.82
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 30?
101 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$61.61
$-6.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 30?
108 shares @ 46.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$50.25
$-0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
86 shares @ 67.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$48.61
$-9.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1?
63 shares @ 83.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$44.73
$-7.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?
75 shares @ 79.2¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$35.46
$-24.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 31?
33 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$30.04
$-0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 30?
27 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$25.89
$0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?
66 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$25.28
$-2.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?$4.40Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 30?$0.17Jul 30, 08:20 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 30?$101.00Jul 30, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 30?$9.09Jul 30, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 31?$3.06Jul 30, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?$3.34Jul 30, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 31?$11.55Jul 30, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$6.76Jul 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 31?$1.26Jul 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 30?$0.27Jul 30, 08:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?$71.44Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?$12.86Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?$5.33Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?$3.04Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30?$0.50Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$106.25Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$18.23Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$6.29Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$6.29Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 30?$3.25Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 84 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
84 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $14.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.