Vain-Anything
0x87edd2b893d7e983e27b8820e8408bef497d0055
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$551.29
Total PnL
$26.74
Realised
$130.44
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
553 shares @ 49.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$323.40
$52.53
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
385 shares @ 34.3¢·now 47.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.05
$51.04
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 57.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.99
$3.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 46.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.98
$-3.91
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
77 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$-1.48
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
112 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$-1.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
135 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-58.26
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
86 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.62May 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.48May 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.85May 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$11.02May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$8.14May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.17May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$40.21May 16, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?$40.00May 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$101.00May 16, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$19.08May 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$23.99May 16, 12:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?$6.07May 15, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$67.05May 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?$18.30May 15, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$8.94May 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.45May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.27May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$16.56May 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$10.40May 15, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".