Vain-Anything
0x87edd2b893d7e983e27b8820e8408bef497d0055
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.37
Total PnL
$-650.05
Realised
$-33.71
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
58 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$2.37
$0.52
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
191 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
135 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-58.26
- THEMONGOLZ
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
133 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.63
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
130 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.10
- BIG
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
121 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-55.32
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- MONTE
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
96 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$9.89Jul 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?$4.09Jul 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$13.96Jul 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$14.04Jul 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$13.96Jul 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$29.16Jul 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarcus Rashford: 1+ goals$3.52Jul 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$14.94Jul 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$47.70Jul 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$31.10Jul 12, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$31.11Jul 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$8.71Jul 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$24.00Jul 11, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$13.26Jul 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.20Jul 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$4.33Jul 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.85Jul 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$67.85Jul 7, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$321.63Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$64.76Jul 6, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $17.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.