Accurate-Freak
0x87f4038dd52b9ebf5fdd971e8376bf90485a8be8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.96
Realised
$227.65
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
5500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
5426 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-64.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
2495 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$91.97Jan 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$21.30Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?$20.77Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$18.42Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$88.23Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$100.01Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$199.73Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$292.35Jan 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$20.00Jan 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$60.00Jan 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?$19.00Jan 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.78Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$7.58Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$7.58Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$8.66Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$5.41Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$5.41Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$5.41Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$5.41Jan 6, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.