Jam-Packed-Antigen
0x87f899cb9a0e4831a26f19a7aff9c6effadadccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$255.99
Total PnL
$-308.61
Realised
$20.07
Win rate
4%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$20.99
$1.46
- NO
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$20.98
$1.66
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$20.88
$1.35
- YES
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$20.68
$1.36
- NO
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?
21 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$20.65
$0.81
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?
20 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$19.99
$0.83
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
20 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$19.99
$0.27
- NO
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$19.97
$0.37
- NO
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
20 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.90
$0.78
- NO
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.42
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21?$15.00Aug 22, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$16.00Aug 22, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$12.00Aug 22, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$15.00Aug 22, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$14.95Aug 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$11.89Aug 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$14.86Aug 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21?$14.51Aug 22, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$15.00Aug 22, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$15.00Aug 22, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 6PM ET$10.00Aug 21, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 21?$10.00Aug 21, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$14.86Aug 21, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$14.72Aug 21, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 6PM ET$9.81Aug 21, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 21?$9.80Aug 21, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Aug 21, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Aug 21, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Aug 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$14.86Aug 21, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $13.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.