Late-Rider-Rubber
0x88075e86695636a17fa2e59d2dd780704a0dd08a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$761.54
Total PnL
$8.00
Realised
$-1.53
Win rate
39%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
75 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$74.50
$1.22
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
61 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$60.05
$0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
59 shares @ 84.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$55.32
$5.27
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
42 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$42.00
$0.10
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
40 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$39.60
$0.25
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
69 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$27.25
$3.79
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
37 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$26.87
$0.91
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$19.67
$0.02
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$0.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
13 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$13.29
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$1.16Aug 9, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$2.19Aug 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.00Aug 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.00Aug 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.70Aug 9, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.22Aug 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.77Aug 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Aug 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Aug 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Aug 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.70Aug 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.70Aug 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.70Aug 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$1.10Aug 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$5.84Aug 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1.58Aug 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$0.89Aug 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$4.84Aug 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$0.99Aug 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$0.99Aug 9, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
39% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
41 closed markets, 39% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.