Formal-Basketball
0x8809aa455b411e776891d6f052078ba0f7eeb9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$31.10
Total PnL
$4.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.75
$7.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
USDT depeg in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 17?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on October 17?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 16?
3 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 17?$2.00Oct 17, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Flyers$1.3KOct 17, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$4.00Oct 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Oct 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Oct 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.00Oct 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Oct 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $160 on October 17?$2.00Oct 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Flyers$750.00Oct 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.5KOct 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$4.70Oct 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.00Oct 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$2.00Oct 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 16?$2.00Oct 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.5KOct 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3,900 on October 16?$2.00Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $784.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.