Agonizing-Insulation
0x880ac0b88924f50eb0c7230c92e75e5b7500308e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$483.49
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$56.03
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
588 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$314.58
$-8.62
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
175 shares @ 27.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$78.75
$30.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$61.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 20?
179 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.38
$2.68
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
20 shares @ 31.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.71
$-2.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 17?
128 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$3.07
$-3.77
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
2820 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-824.99
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
2694 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-641.08
- YES
Will Solana reach $110 in May?
1955 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-165.32
- NO
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
1587 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-502.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?$9.00Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 16?$10.82Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 16?$2.59Jul 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 16?$8.70Jul 16, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 16?$6.67Jul 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 16?$4.60Jul 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?$5.45Jul 16, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 16?$0.80Jul 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 16?$5.52Jul 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$67.70Jul 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$9.08Jul 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?$65.25Jul 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 16?$2.53Jul 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$0.97Jul 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 17?$1.79Jul 16, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$11.19Jul 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$11.34Jul 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$14.57Jul 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$14.57Jul 16, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$14.57Jul 16, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.