Charming-Metabolite
0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$28.2K
Total PnL
$-30.77
Realised
$-75.23
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
13456 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.4K
$262.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 29?
3298 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.3K
$4.95
- NO
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
2659 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.6K
$-14.76
- NO
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1775 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.8K
$4.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?
1702 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.7K
$4.23
- NO
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1027 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$11.96
- NO
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
951 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$946.41
$3.59
- NO
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
850 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$837.90
$-5.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on July 29?
483 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$481.33
$8.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 30?
432 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$431.13
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on July 28?$97.98Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?$1.94Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 43°C or higher on July 28?$75.81Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 28?$95.12Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on July 30?$1.98Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on July 30?$75.63Jul 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 30?$19.64Jul 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 30?$411.53Jul 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 30?$2.99Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 30?$94.81Jul 28, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 28?$67.88Jul 28, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 106°F or higher on July 27?$3.00Jul 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C or higher on July 30?$26.55Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 40°C or higher on July 30?$2.95Jul 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 44°C or higher on July 30?$2.95Jul 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C or higher on July 30?$2.95Jul 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 43°C or higher on July 28?$72.69Jul 28, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 27?$7.97Jul 28, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$0.72Jul 28, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$1.30Jul 28, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $142.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.