Ornate-Glow
0x8814b06b474b12f3c66ccb2afe68196484456341
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$11.06
Total PnL
$-68.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?
3321 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 14?
1157 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
1130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
1127 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?
1122 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
1115 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?
1114 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 29?
1113 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$3.01Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$3.00Jun 12, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.12Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.10May 26, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$4.81May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$4.80May 19, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$5.12May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$5.10May 12, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$5.12May 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$5.10May 4, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.28May 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.26Apr 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.13Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 29?$2.23Mar 29, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?$3.36Mar 26, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$2.26Mar 24, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?$4.46Mar 22, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?$3.38Mar 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18?$4.42Mar 18, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 16?$1.1KMar 17, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $594.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.