Gray-Refund
0x881890f06e8822adbee2c94d77dff690145c4bd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$39.62
Total PnL
$-50.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$28.17
$8.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.46
$1.46
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?
5173 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
1559 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$20.00Apr 21, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Apr 21, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Apr 21, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $12.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.