Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-381.75

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-19.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
164 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-98.64
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
134 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-99.08
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
104 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-29.69
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
95 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-49.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
38 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-29.78
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
35 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-9.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
31 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-25.54
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
24 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-19.91

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.98Mar 12, 04:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.00Mar 12, 04:34 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$79.24Mar 12, 02:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$30.00Mar 12, 02:04 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$28.46Mar 12, 01:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$20.00Mar 12, 01:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$30.00Mar 11, 19:43 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$32.48Mar 11, 19:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.76Mar 11, 19:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$8.71Mar 11, 19:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.11Mar 11, 19:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$9.39Mar 11, 19:12 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$46.59Mar 11, 18:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$30.00Mar 11, 18:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$432.91Mar 11, 18:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$300.00Mar 11, 18:48 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$8.31Mar 11, 18:44 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$64.61Mar 11, 18:43 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$162.80Mar 11, 18:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$200.00Mar 11, 18:41 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry22 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $60.91
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 11, 16:40 UTC
Last active: Mar 12, 04:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:29:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data