Flickering-Tog
0x8824aea2aae709aab8ac403dbfea17357b88c6f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?
83 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-19.31
- YES
Trump in jail before inauguration?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$0.00Jan 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?$9.31Nov 27, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$9.32Nov 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$6.49Nov 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deportation executive order on Day 1?$1.00Nov 26, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla bot at Trump inauguration?$1.00Nov 26, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before inauguration? $1.00Nov 26, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?$1.00Nov 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$1.00Nov 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$1.00Nov 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk arrested in 2024?$1.00Nov 26, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$1.00Nov 26, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine join NATO in 2024?$1.00Nov 26, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Nov 26, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?$10.00Nov 26, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".