Total-Crumb
0x8827e61f66c238ad7dadea664f5fe3614e0c1327
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.76
Realised
$10.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 15 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 13 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 14 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
199 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
191 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.09
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.78Nov 4, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 4, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$5.00Nov 4, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$6.15Nov 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$6.16Nov 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 4, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$10.00Nov 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$5.24Oct 31, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$5.00Oct 30, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$10.00Oct 30, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$8.00Oct 30, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$7.00Oct 30, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$7.00Oct 30, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$3.70Oct 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$3.57Oct 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$30.00Oct 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$20.51Oct 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$3.00Sep 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?$0.71Sep 29, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".