Clumsy-Negotiation
0x8832235f4676ead95612b1ae091566bb95ee88d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1732 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.06
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
83 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US national XRP reserve in 2025?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before August?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
23 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Parma win on 2025-08-24?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Juventus vs. Parma end in a draw?
9 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus vs. Parma end in a draw?$1.89Aug 24, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma win on 2025-08-24?$2.00Aug 24, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.58Aug 24, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$2.22Aug 24, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national XRP reserve in 2025?$5.00Jul 19, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$4.00Jul 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$9.08Jul 13, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Iran before July?$0.00Jul 4, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$4.02Jun 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$3.00Jun 30, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$3.22Jun 30, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $3.59Jun 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$3.00Jun 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Iran before July?$1.00Jun 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before August?$4.00Jun 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.47Jun 28, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$2.49Jun 27, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 24, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".