0x8833a566e9e1705c591268f98b3edcc7f3d6b7a0
0x8833a566e9e1705c591268f98b3edcc7f3d6b7a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.52
Realised
$3.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?
705 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.23
- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
344 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.22
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
300 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?
100 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.89
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
35 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.90
- COWBOYS
Vikings vs. Cowboys
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.06
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
26 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$7.22Dec 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Cowboys$20.06Dec 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLXabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?$18.06Dec 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$2.27Dec 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.63Dec 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMark Kelly charged by December 31?$0.22Dec 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$3.00Dec 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Buccaneers (-7.5)$5.94Dec 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Buccaneers (-7.5)$2.64Dec 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLOKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?$1.80Dec 12, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025?$0.00Dec 10, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sophie Segreti be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?$5.00Dec 8, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?$1.41Dec 2, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$11.36Nov 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$11.40Nov 30, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$15.83Nov 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5$5.00Nov 30, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLArmy vs. UTSA Roadrunners$7.42Nov 30, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLArmy vs. UTSA Roadrunners$4.50Nov 29, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".