Sweltering-Marksman
0x8842275117dc4bcb32b29f1fd3986f7535e79bba
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.65
Total PnL
$-346.15
Realised
$21.69
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 700 million and 1 billion?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.65
$1.51
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 13-19?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?
208 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-95.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET
196 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-84.50
- YES
Will Solana reach $220 October 13-19?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
68 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-47.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?
64 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
56 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 700 million and 1 billion?$1.14Oct 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$2.50Oct 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET$9.12Oct 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?$9.12Oct 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?$4.46Oct 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?$5.00Oct 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?$95.59Oct 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$5.00Oct 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$2.00Oct 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Oct 21, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.00Oct 21, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$92.00Oct 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$3.41Oct 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$2.00Oct 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET$3.99Oct 21, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET$2.00Oct 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET$1.52Oct 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET$1.00Oct 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Oct 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$109.66Oct 21, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".