Extra-Small-Thermals
0x8842b3d569f49f38c61d10d2da9e78f826d6023c
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$68.14
Total PnL
$11.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$21.54
$20.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$19.99
$18.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?
17 shares @ 5.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$10.41
$9.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?
80 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$3.04
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.75
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 16?
46 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.55
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 16?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on May 15?
165 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?
66 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.95
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?
40 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.94
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$1.00May 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?$0.01May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$1.45May 14, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$1.86May 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?$1.40May 14, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?$1.60May 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?$1.21May 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?$0.59May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?$0.84May 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?$0.03May 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?$0.04May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?$0.03May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16?$0.04May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.14May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 14?$1.10May 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.15May 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.75May 14, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?$1.20May 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.31May 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.15May 14, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".