Quick-Witted-Perception
0x884a19794fbbf816527abb4dc866300268a7aa34
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.45
Total PnL
$-50.31
Realised
$-1.94
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
300 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.45
$-19.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
403 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.42
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$4.74Aug 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.76Aug 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.33Aug 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.35Aug 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.65Aug 21, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.33Aug 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.35Aug 21, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.35Aug 21, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$4.69Aug 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$10.00Aug 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$0.90Aug 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$1.08Aug 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?$20.40Aug 19, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMNo one announced as next James Bond?$0.00Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$0.00Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?$0.00Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.00Jun 28, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMAlien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?$0.00Jun 28, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $45.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.