Firsthand-Rayon
0x884f0309e2c9021c47693796376f022f62792aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$41.61
Total PnL
$-232.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 48.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.61
$21.61
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
1031 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-73.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
867 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?
754 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
343 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
288 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
263 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?
249 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
89 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$9.00Jan 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.00Jan 10, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$7.00Jan 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$36.70Jan 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$20.00Dec 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$21.00Dec 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?$22.00Dec 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?$17.48Dec 4, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by December 31?$7.00Dec 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?$13.00Dec 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$33.50Dec 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$5.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$5.00Dec 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?$5.00Dec 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?$7.00Dec 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$50.30Dec 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?$70.64Dec 1, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$12.00Nov 20, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announce run for 3rd term?$5.00Nov 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$5.00Nov 20, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".