Adolescent-Misnomer
0x88524ae9a0eeffbe1820103eb9e5feccf02ed180
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.53
Total PnL
$-405.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
12000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.59
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
4335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
950 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
780 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
724 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$31.54Feb 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$1.06Feb 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$28.00Feb 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$40.00Feb 28, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.67Feb 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.68Feb 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.68Feb 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.02Feb 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?$2.50Feb 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$2.49Feb 5, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$5.80Feb 5, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$5.54Feb 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$15.50Feb 1, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$15.69Jan 31, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 31, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?$7.00Jan 27, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.00Jan 23, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?$55.00Jan 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 23, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $27.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.