0x8854a2d15604d6d2861ede5a69cf340c1e08070c
0x8854a2d15604d6d2861ede5a69cf340c1e08070c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$65.29
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-166.90
Win rate
4%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$8.89
$3.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$6.94
$2.01
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$6.47
$1.68
- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$2.11
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.56
$1.39
- NO
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
5 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$1.63
- NO
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 81.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$5.43
$0.98
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.40
$2.65
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.40
$4.05
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$5.11
$1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.83Feb 3, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.94Feb 2, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.93Feb 2, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$4.93Feb 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$4.77Feb 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.83Feb 2, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.98Feb 2, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$7.70Feb 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$4.96Feb 2, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.07Feb 2, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.12Feb 2, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$7.56Feb 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$7.35Feb 2, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Feb 2, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$11.27Feb 2, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.98Feb 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.47Feb 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.13Feb 2, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$13.88Feb 2, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.19Feb 2, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".