Salty-Crisis
0x8854fb4fda7431c4c7a371b19b92fc367bfa40a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-170.31
Win rate
24%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 28?
1144 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-89.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
949 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 27?
504 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 27?
311 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-102.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 26?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
259 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-147.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 4?
259 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on February 4?
242 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
236 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-49.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?$19.85Apr 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?$22.92Apr 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?$5.31Apr 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?$10.00Apr 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?$35.00Apr 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?$40.00Apr 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$14.23Apr 20, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.28Apr 20, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$5.45Apr 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.11Apr 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$5.00Apr 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$5.00Apr 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$5.00Apr 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.78Apr 20, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.02Apr 20, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.06Apr 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$6.21Apr 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.10Apr 20, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.