Puzzled-Rise
0x88561c643af70704fedb62a431564cac64d03f5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.44
Realised
$-2.22
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 22-28?
292 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?$1.07Aug 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?$1.07Aug 6, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?$1.07Aug 5, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?$1.07Jul 28, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?$1.07Jul 28, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?$1.07Jul 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?$1.07Jul 24, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?$1.07Jul 23, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23?$1.07Jul 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 23?$1.07Jul 21, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?$1.07Jul 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?$1.06Jul 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 16?$1.07Jul 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$1.06Jul 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14?$1.07Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,650 on July 14?$1.07Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jul 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?$1.07Jul 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?$1.07Jul 6, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.