Exotic-Morsel-Landing
0x8857503838970cf9e8fffbce396ea8170bd34b5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-716.46
Realised
$-17.91
Win rate
0%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Deportes Copiapo vs. Curico Unido: 1st Half O/U 0.5
1327 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-483.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 3?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 3?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 7?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 6?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 3?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on July 4?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 4?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on July 6?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or higher on July 5?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.61Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportes Copiapo vs. Curico Unido: Both Teams to Score$2.02Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on July 3?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 3?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 3?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 4?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 7?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 6?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 73°F or below on July 6?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 7?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 6?$0.00Aug 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 4?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 6?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 7?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 7?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 5?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 4?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 7?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 5?$0.00Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
62 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $376.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.