Practical-Mathematics
0x885fb98d884014e6bc9bd299909fb1914f85a6fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
807 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
610 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2024 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Director of FBI be fired/resign?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $110m and $130m opening weekend?
103 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?
75 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-10.50
- NO
Will Biden say "Democracy" during drop out speech?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be sitting during dropout speech?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?$10.50Aug 4, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "coconut" before August?$5.00Aug 4, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Brat" before August?$10.00Aug 4, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden stumble during his dropout speech?$0.00Jul 25, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be sitting during dropout speech?$2.00Jul 24, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden stumble during his dropout speech?$3.00Jul 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Director of FBI be fired/resign?$10.00Jul 24, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference?$2.85Jul 24, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $165 on July 26?$3.70Jul 24, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?$4.50Jul 24, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$5.40Jul 24, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?$4.55Jul 24, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$8.40Jul 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "coconut" before August?$2.50Jul 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?$2.80Jul 23, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$5.70Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Brat" before August?$5.00Jul 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?$0.70Jul 23, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala speak at Bitcoin conference?$11.09Jul 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $165 on July 26?$4.65Jul 23, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.