Lined-Governance
0x8864dcbfc17d7591218f2fff80ab4b1cb7586f02
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$1.18
Total PnL
$-92.31
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$1.02Jan 2, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.11Jan 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Dec 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Dec 4, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.31Dec 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Dec 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Dec 4, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Dec 3, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.12Dec 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.39Dec 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Dec 3, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.22Dec 3, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Dec 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 3?$1.00Dec 3, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.08Dec 3, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.35Dec 3, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Dec 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.27Dec 3, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Dec 3, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.