Obvious-Pardon
0x88663966547093059cbc363950f2bd237bd6dd1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.89
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$140.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 25.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.89
$2.84
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
30935 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-298.24
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
8517 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?
1300 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-786.05
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
961 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-662.80
- YES
Will $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?
143 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-43.17
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$6.75Dec 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$1.86Dec 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$3.10Dec 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$6.50Dec 6, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$1.00Dec 6, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$1.71Dec 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$0.51Dec 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$2.97Dec 5, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$4.50Dec 4, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$1.50Dec 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$3.00Dec 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?$9.76Dec 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$57.51Dec 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$64.09Sep 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRoyals vs. Athletics$64.10Sep 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Athletics$53.68Sep 28, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$53.68Sep 28, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.05Jul 25, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$37.95Jul 25, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLDoge ETF approved by July 31?$1.29Jul 25, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $226.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".