Essential-Drapes
0x88688d774013feb3c66eb70f49f8274f331b0ec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$2.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
752 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
742 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-625.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
312 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-146.75
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
197 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.87
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 27?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 27?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8AM ET
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$4.43Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$3.30Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$20.00Jul 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$19.40Jul 27, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$20.00Jul 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$19.81Jul 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.74Jul 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.76Jul 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.01Jul 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.80Jul 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.49Jul 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.83Jul 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.15Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.49Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.65Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.01Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.45Jul 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.50Jul 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.73Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.27Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.