Lawful-Presence
0x886b583330861f1346362a6d6db01370e583473d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" during his NATO speech?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Giannis traded during NBA Draft?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China before September?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.53Nov 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$3.33Nov 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 7, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$2.00Nov 7, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$3.20Nov 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$2.23Aug 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$2.38Aug 9, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above before August?$0.00Jul 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above before August?$1.69Jul 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.00Jun 26, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.00Jun 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Jun 26, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00Jun 26, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama endorse Mamdani?$1.00Jun 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$1.00Jun 25, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus beat Manchester City?$1.00Jun 25, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA European U21: England vs. Netherlands (To Advance) $1.00Jun 25, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiannis traded during NBA Draft?$1.00Jun 25, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$1.00Jun 25, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.00Jun 25, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".