Watchful-Stepbrother
0x8885e218aac36f8eca7286d92f68d48e7f395792
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$62.64
Total PnL
$-234.83
Realised
$1.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (February 1)
700 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.20
- NO
Will Trump say "World Peace" this week? (February 1)
450 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
317 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-60.92
- YES
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.20
- YES
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
164 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.04
- YES
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$62.16May 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$14.51May 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$50.09May 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$50.10Jan 29, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 57°F or below on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 57°F or below on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".