Steel-Hometown
0x8888a4f8c8d3834482d77405530d7f5428a40b39
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$-56.0K
Realised
$-95.36
Win rate
40%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
2401 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.3K
$-24.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?
2381 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.2K
$15.99
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
2126 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.1K
$78.96
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
2493 shares @ 85.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.1K
$-47.73
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
1760 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.3K
$26.43
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1035 shares @ 59.4¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$772.92
$157.55
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
2489 shares @ 33.7¢·now 29.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$721.70
$-115.93
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
1068 shares @ 63.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$667.49
$-10.32
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
2580 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$593.45
$103.17
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
2434 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$377.29
$-85.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$163.19Aug 2, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$59.21Aug 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$161.20Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$9.20Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$161.20Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$163.32Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$8.39Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$163.32Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$159.07Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$161.20Aug 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$45.90Aug 2, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$4.39Aug 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$70.97Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$25.78Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$69.15Aug 2, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$69.15Aug 2, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$69.15Aug 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$12.31Aug 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$19.43Aug 1, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$151.78Aug 1, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
53 closed markets, 40% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $85.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.