Lone-Alteration
0x889159fa01692b6a0d624b2a2b24714279d22fc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$62.13
Total PnL
$-173.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
62 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$62.13
$26.07
- YES
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
433 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
108 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
85 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jiner Zhu vs. Aleksandra Goryachkina end in a draw?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- YES
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva vs. Anna Muzychuk end in a draw?
18 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bibisara Assaubayeva vs. Anna Muzychuk end in a draw?$10.00Apr 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jiner Zhu vs. Aleksandra Goryachkina end in a draw?$10.00Apr 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kateryna Lagno vs. Divya Deshmukh end in a draw?$10.00Apr 14, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javokhir Sindarov vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?$31.39Apr 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?$21.52Apr 12, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fabiano Caruana vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?$17.32Apr 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?$15.00Apr 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?$20.00Apr 12, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?$14.56Apr 11, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anish Giri vs. Andrey Esipenko end in a draw?$17.32Apr 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?$10.00Apr 10, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anish Giri vs. Andrey Esipenko end in a draw?$10.00Apr 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?$10.00Apr 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.44Apr 10, 10:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $13.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.