Unimportant-Woodland
0x8895cb2e18410f7434c4b9fba8f38b32e89c17ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.08Aug 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.92Aug 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Aug 23, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Aug 23, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Aug 23, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.96Aug 23, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Aug 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.07Aug 23, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.00Aug 23, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.73Aug 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.38Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.09Aug 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.10Aug 17, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.