Mortified-Horst
0x8895fd535573336e13cedc252bf321303a5cb0a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.11
Total PnL
$-68.66
Realised
$-5.29
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
216 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
879 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
562 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
353 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
157 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
83 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $110+ on April 8?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jose Maria Olazabal finish as leader after Round 3?
64 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$1.53Apr 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$0.60Apr 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.67Apr 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.26Apr 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$2.33Apr 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.47Apr 11, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.96Apr 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.07Apr 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$1.11Apr 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$1.19Apr 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.00Apr 11, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$3.35Apr 11, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$3.10Apr 10, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$3.21Apr 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$2.96Apr 10, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Maria Olazabal finish as leader after Round 3?$1.00Apr 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$1.00Apr 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$2.00Apr 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.96Apr 10, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.