Fumbling-Training
0x88b0bd7130b184d110c507bce00978e090fbb118
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.1K
Total PnL
$378.90
Realised
$612.59
Win rate
65%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
3896 shares @ 87.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$107.27
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in July?
2411 shares @ 89.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.4K
$233.16
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
2038 shares @ 64.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.6K
$295.63
- NO
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?
1747 shares @ 89.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.4K
$-113.37
- NO
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
1293 shares @ 60.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.3K
$482.45
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?
1130 shares @ 67.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$299.90
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in July?
1006 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$994.57
$15.05
- YES
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
2689 shares @ 56.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$927.29
$-577.53
- NO
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?
753 shares @ 94.6¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$679.96
$-32.27
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $120 in July?
646 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$638.79
$96.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$0.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$13.65Jul 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$91.91Jul 28, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$494.19Jul 28, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of July 27 2026?$1.28Jul 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of July 27 2026?$130.72Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?$196.47Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 27 2026?$197.89Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of July 27 2026?$1.98Jul 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of July 27 2026?$15.18Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of July 27 2026?$9.20Jul 28, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 27 2026?$110.11Jul 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of July 27 2026?$0.05Jul 28, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July?$18.00Jul 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of July 27 2026?$1.28Jul 28, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
68 closed markets, 65% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $52.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.