Strict-Hugger-Distortion
0x88b37891713c1a9f2b640fd7b4ddde6d664d9ca3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$9.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$48.59
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-19.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2234 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 21?
1764 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-32.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?
1200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-46.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?
1036 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?
1007 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 24?$0.09Jun 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 24?$44.91Jun 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 22?$16.00Jun 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?$2.68Jun 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?$10.68Jun 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?$2.92Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?$3.72Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19?$14.00Jun 19, 01:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.89Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to score first vs. Canada?$8.40Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to score first vs. Canada?$2.60Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to score first vs. Canada?$9.00Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$2.62Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$0.50Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$0.15Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$0.13Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$0.18Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$4.11Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$8.08Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?$1.36Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.