Smart-Refund
0x88ba6750d02060082c6a2ce1fbacad3e2dd9eeaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-291.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
157 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-38.94
- YES
Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
78 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- LEWIS
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
40 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$22.70Feb 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 22, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)$20.83Feb 22, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$50.00Feb 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.00Feb 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$15.00Feb 22, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$45.00Jan 26, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$60.00Jan 26, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$22.20Jan 25, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$10.50Jan 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.80Jan 25, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$12.15Jan 25, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?$24.39Oct 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$10.00Oct 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?$0.21Oct 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$5.00Oct 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$5.00Oct 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?$5.00Oct 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$24.81Oct 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$20.00Oct 29, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".