Ill-Logo
0x88bdfcae4f5bf4f91e0ce362aa6b9fa4c3804c17
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.06
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
2071 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
1435 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
796 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-19.18
- YES
U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?
564 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?
420 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-42.40
- YES
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
200 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-32.20
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in August?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$3.09Oct 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$21.00Oct 1, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.00Aug 25, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.41Aug 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.48Aug 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.03Aug 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.60Aug 17, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.02Aug 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.46Aug 17, 08:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.54Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$55.00Aug 15, 13:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Aug 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Aug 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?$8.00Aug 13, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$5.20Aug 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in August?$3.30Aug 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Aug 8, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$27.00Aug 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?$6.00Aug 7, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".