Cheerful-Dart
0x88bf5d86df90f6d8c3edb53bf9d16fe3f3200933
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Unión: Draw at halftime?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
CA Unión leading at halftime?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-99.88
- NO
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?
2652 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-397.75
- UNDER
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5
2513 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-228.19
- NO
EC Juventude vs. São Paulo FC: Draw at halftime?
1878 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- NO
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-20?
1181 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-198.20
- YES
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC win on 2026-05-15?
1175 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-343.30
- NO
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
750 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-367.53
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$152.55Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$71.82Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$89.42Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$216.29Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.32Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$76.85Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$104.47Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$28.64Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$29.76Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$121.73Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.77Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$23.43Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$46.63Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.47Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.52Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.64Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.32Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.61Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.75Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$249.41Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $118.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.