Long-Marble
0x88c811ceaceb78a2189e21b364849398b30dd6b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.27
Total PnL
$-20.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.86
$-6.14
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.71
$0.71
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 38 million views on day 2?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.14
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.05May 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$2.08May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 38 million views on day 2?$3.15May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.55May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.81May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.77May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.11May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$6.52May 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.49May 17, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.56May 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.24May 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.03May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$25.27May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$25.40May 17, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$13.25May 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.09May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.08May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 17, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $7.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".